This is the executive summary of a substantive report on Russian-speaking foreign fighters and Islamic State’s influence in the North Caucasus, by CREST Researcher Cerwyn Moore and ESRC-funded PhD Student Mark Youngman.Despite its early and spectacular successes in Syria and Iraq, the Islamic State (IS) has, over the last year, suffered repeated setbacks that have weakened its ability to control captured territory and implement its state-building agenda. A key aspect of IS’s strategy has been the mobilisation of supporters across Russia and the former Soviet Union. Other rebel groups in Syria have also attracted support from these areas, illustrating the need for a proper understanding of the Russian-speaking militant milieu, beyond IS’s territorial claims.
The report shows that:
- Islamic State has established a patchy toehold in Russia, in particular by linking up with a much-weakened domestic insurgency
- This has lead to a wave of incidents, including an attack in Derbent, Dagestan in December 2015, and an attack in December 2016 in Grozny, Chechnya.
- Whilst other incidents have been attributed to IS, many of these have been rudimentary attacks
- The terrorist threat facing Russia is not reducible to IS.
To read the the executive summary download it here.
This report is available to download in a variety of formats. This page links to the executive summary. The full report can be found here, and a one-page policy brief here.
Dr Cerwyn Moore is a CREST-funded researcher and a senior lecturer in International Relations, in the Department of Political Science and International Studies University of Birmingham. He leads CREST’s Actors and Narratives programme.
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